How much of a gamble is trading really?

In the world of investing, there is always some element of risk involved. However, many people view trading as more of a gamble than an investment. There are a number of factors that contribute to the perceived riskiness of trading, but it is important to remember that all investments carry some degree of risk. With proper research and risk management, trading can be a rewarding experience.

Why do people assume trading is risky?

When most people think of gambling, they think of games such as poker or blackjack where players go head-to-head with the house, trying to beat the odds and come out ahead. Trading is a different kind of gamble altogether. When trading, you’re not playing against the house as you’re playing against other traders in the market and the market itself, and the odds are always changing.

So, how much of a gamble is trading really? That depends on multiple factors. Let’s take a look at a few of them:

1. The asset you’re trading: Some assets are more volatile than others, which means they’re more likely to experience large price swings over a short period of time. This makes them riskier to trade but also potentially more profitable in the short term. Other assets are more stable, with slower and smaller price movements. This makes them less risky but also less likely to yield big profits in a short space of time.
2. Your investment strategy: If you’re buying and holding for the long term, you’re taking on less risk than if you’re day trading or trying to scalp profits from small price movements. Of course, your investment strategy also has a lot to do with your goals. Are you looking to make a quick buck or grow your capital? Additionally, your investment strategy will depend heavily on your ability to analyze economic data and understand concepts like what causes inflation. 
3. Your risk tolerance: This is a big one. If you’re not comfortable with losing money, then trading might not be for you. Even the best traders have losing trades sometimes, so it’s important to be prepared for a scenario where you don’t always come out with a big profit. If your risk tolerance is low, you may prefer investing in education or real estate to protect yourself against potential losses.

What are the risks of trading?

The risks of trading in the market can vary greatly depending on the type of investment and strategy being employed. Some common types of risk associated with trading include:

1. Market risk: This is a general term used to describe any potential losses that may occur due to fluctuations in the prices of assets or securities either due to changes in economic conditions or political events.  
2. Liquidity risk: This is caused by an inability to buy or sell financial instruments quickly enough, resulting in losses on trades that would otherwise have been profitable had they not been subject to liquidity constraints. 
3. Volatility risk: Volatility refers to how rapidly asset prices move up and down, with higher volatility leading to increased risk for traders holding positions over longer periods of time. 
4. Systemic risk: Systemic risk occurs when there are disruptions in the functioning of markets as a whole, such as during times of extreme market stress or after major news developments affecting entire sectors such as global pandemics or civil wars. It’s important for traders and investors alike to be aware of systemic risks so that their strategies don’t become overly exposed if something happens outside their control which could have serious implications for their investments going forward. 
5. Default/credit risk: Investing often involves lending money directly or indirectly, so one must consider default/credit risks posed by counterparties. Understanding these credit exposures helps ensure adequate protection against non-payment scenarios which could affect your investment profitability.   
6. Interest rates risks: Understanding how interest rate movements might affect your investments, especially those held long term, can help minimize costly surprises down the line. Certain asset classes perform better than others at varying levels so it’s always worth doing some research prior to entering into trades where interest rates play an influential role. 

Most experts will agree that if you get your initial asset mix right, you will generally avoid big losses and enjoy decent gains on your initial investment. 

The takeaway

When it comes to trading, there is a lot of misinformation out there. Some people will tell you that it’s a huge gamble, while others will say that it’s a piece of cake. As you’ll have gathered from above, while there are risks involved beyond the individual trader’s control, just how risky it is depends on what type of trader you are, your investment strategies and how conservative you are with your trades.